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With its northward movement, Typhoon Paeng is forecast to leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Saturday without any landfall activity.

Enhanced by the Typhoon, the Southwest Monsoon will bring cloudy skies with scattered rain showers in Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao and Caraga. Elsewhere, partly cloudy to cloudy skies prevail and localized thunderstorms are possible. PAGASA raised a gale warning off the northern seaboards of Northern Luzon and the eastern seaboards of Luzon and Visayas. Fisherfolk and those with small seacraft are advised not to venture out, while larger vessels are advised to take precautionary measures against rough to very rough sea conditions.

Meanwhile, a new weather disturbance may threaten the country next week. According to PAGASA Weather Forecaster Ariel Rojas, a Low Pressure Area (LPA) was spotted at 3,100 kilometers east-southeast of Mindanao, outside PAR. It is forecast to intensify into a tropical cyclone and enter PAR next week.



Rains are more likely to prevail due to the Low Pressure Area (LPA), last located in the vicinity of Maddela, Quirino. PAGASA Weather Forecaster Gener Quitlong noted that it has a slim chance of developing into a Tropical Depression within the day but once it reaches the West Philippine Sea, it may accumulate moisture and may still intensify as a “bagyo”.

Because the LPA is now traversing in between Northern and Central Luzon, it will continue to dump rains in several areas. Cloudy skies with moderate to occasionally heavy rains and thunderstorms are expected in Bicol Region and in the provinces of Cagayan, Apayao, Ilocos Norte, Batanes and the Babuyan Group of Islands. PAGASA alerts the residents against possible flooding and landslides.

Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon will experience cloudy skies with light to moderate rains with thunderstorms. Meanwhile, Visayas and Mindanao can expect partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon or evening.

Gale warning is up in the northern seaboard of Northern Luzon, where rough to very rough sea condition is expected. Sea travel is risky for fishing boats and other small seacraft as wave height may reach up to 3.4 to 4.5 meters.

Have you noticed the slightly cooler weather mostly in the early morning? Quitlong added that northeasterly winds are already approaching. The ongoing transition period or shifting of wind patterns signifies that Habagat is no longer expected to affect the country. Hence, Amihan season is just around the corner!

 
Two weather systems will dump rains this weekend.
 
These include a Low Pressure Area (LPA) inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and the Southwest Monsoon affecting the western sections of Southern Luzon and Visayas.
 
At 3:00 AM today, the LPA was spotted at 40 kilometers north-northeast of Alabat, Quezon. PAGASA Weather Forecaster Samuel Duran said, the possibility that the LPA would develop into a tropical cyclone remains slim but it will still dampen Luzon as it approaches the landmass.
 
Today, areas in Luzon and Western Visayas will have cloudy skies with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms due to the LPA. These rains may trigger flash floods and landslides. Meanwhile, the remaining parts of Visayas and Mindanao will experience a generally fair weather except for chances of localized thunderstorms.
 

 
 
Rains affect western section of Luzon
 
The Southwest Monsoon, warm and moist air coming from the Indian Ocean has slightly weakened in the absence of a weather disturbance surrounding the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).
 
But today, it still affects the western section of Northern and Central Luzon, bringing cloudy skies with light to moderate rains in Ilocos Region, Zambales and Bataan.
 
In the rest of Luzon including Metro Manila, down to Visayas and Mindanao, partly cloudy to cloudy skies will prevail with possible isolated rain shower and thunderstorms.
 
The country will remain storm-free in the next two to three days.
 
Question of the Day
Panahon TV follower Gerby Flores asked: “Ilang bagyo ang papasok kapag August?” (How many tropical cyclones will enter or develop this August?)
 
According to PAGASA Weather Forecaster Gener Quitlong, two to four tropical cyclones may enter or develop in PAR this month based on climatological records.
 
These tropical cyclones’ track may be a hit or miss. If these weather disturbances hit the landmass, it may make landfall in Northern Luzon.
 

 

 
Warm Wednesday and Monsoon Break
 
In the midst of the Rainy Season, generally fair and warm weather is expected with the presence of the Ridge of a High Pressure Area (HPA) today.
 
“Ridge” refers to the extended part of an HPA or an anticyclone. Unlike a Low Pressure Area, this indicates an area where the atmospheric pressure is higher than its surroundings. Formation of clouds is usually suppressed, thus, less chance of rains. As it extends across Luzon, partly cloudy to cloudy skies will prevail in Metro Manila and the rest of the country only with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms.
 
In an interview with PanahonTV, PAGASA Weather Forecaster Robert Badrina said that the country is on a monsoon break.
 

 
Badrina also said that the country will experience a storm-free week.

 
 
Moderate rains continue in Palawan
 
The Southwest Monsoon, locally known as Habagat continues to affect the eastern section of Luzon.
 
As this weather system prevails, Palawan will continue to experience light to moderate rain showers and thunderstorms. In the rest of the country including Metro Manila, partly cloudy to cloudy skies will prevail only with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms.
 

 
With rains concentrated in Palawan, humid weather is still expected to prevail in most parts of the country.
 

 
Get to Know Habagat
Every year, when the rainy season begins, Habagat begins to affect the country. Due to its warm and moist characteristics, Habagat causes monsoon rains that could last for a couple of days or even a week. Here are things you must know about this weather system:
 

Light to moderate rains in Palawan
On the first Saturday of June, the Southwest Monsoon, which is warm and moist air locally known as Habagat is still affecting the western section of Luzon.
 
As this weather system prevails, cloudy skies with light to moderate rain showers and thunderstorms will be experienced in the province of Palawan. In Metro Manila and the rest of the country, partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms will prevail.
 
While the Habagat dumps rains on some parts of Luzon, residents are alerted against heavy rains, which may trigger flash floods and landslides. It can be recalled that five persons perished in a landslide that occurred in Puerto Princesa City, Palawan last Monday night. According to reports, the victims were composed of a family of four and an infant.
 

 
Photos courtesy of Brigada News FM Palawan.
 
However, PAGASA Weather Forecaster Meno Mendoza clarified that there is no weather disturbance affecting the country.
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MIE_MuLGYuQ

 
Frontal system and Habagat bring rains to Luzon
 
 
Rains will prevail in most parts of Luzon on the last Sunday of May 2017.
 
According to PAGASA, the Frontal System is affecting the extreme Northern Luzon, while the Southwest Monsoon dominates the western section of Northern and Central Luzon. Frontal System refers to the boundary of two different air masses. Once this weather system becomes dominant in an area, it will generate convective clouds which will bring thunderstorms. Southwest Monsoon is defined as warm and moist winds moving in a southwest direction. Due to these characteristics, Habagat can cause monsoon rains that can last for a couple of days or even a week
 

As these weather systems prevail today, Ilocos Region, Cordillera and Batanes will experience moderate to occasionally heavy rains and thunderstorms. Residents of these areas are alerted against flash floods and landslides. In Central Luzon and the rest of Cagayan Valley, light to moderate rains and thunderstorms will be experienced. For the rest of Luzon, down to Visayas and Mindanao, partly cloudy to cloudy skies will prevail, only with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms.
 
While the present Habagat is categorized as weak, this, along with the Frontal System, has brought significant rainfall to some areas in Luzon. According to PAGASA Weather Forecaster Gener Quitlong, last week’s top three highest rainfall were recorded in these areas;
 
Batanes – 232 millimeters (mm) of rain in 24 hours – May 26, 2017
Calapan – 75.2 mm of rain in 24 hours – May 25, 2017
Casiguran – 76.2 mm of rain in 24 hours – May 24, 2017
 
 

This weekend, remember to bring your umbrellas as you make your “huling hirit sa tag-init,” because the prevailing Southwest Monsoon or Habagat brings possibilities of rains. According to PAGASA Weather Forecaster Loriedin dela Cruz, the habagat is in effect in the western section of Luzon and Visayas.

 

With its warm and moist characteristics, the habagat will bring cloudy skies with light to moderate rain showers and thunderstorms to the regions of Ilocos, Cordillera, MIMAROPA, CALABARZON, Bicol, Western Visayas and the provinces of Batanes, Cagayan, Zambales and Bataan. In the remaining parts of the country including Metro Manila, partly cloudy to cloudy skies prevails only with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms.

Photo courtesy of Nelson M. Velasco‎, Daraga, Albay

 

Dela Cruz adds that no weather disturbance is expected to affect the country in the next two days.