PAGASA Weather Forecaster Jori Loiz says Marilyn is now gradually recurving northward, away from the country. If it maintains speed and direction, it will possibly exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Thursday.
At 7:00AM today, Typhoon “Marilyn” was estimated at 1,065 kilometers east of Aparri, Cagayan. Garnering winds of 150 kilometers per hour and gustiness of up to 185 kilometers per hour, it is expected to move north northeast at 7 kilometers per hour.
Today, Eastern Visayas must prepare against cloudy skies with light to moderate rains and isolated thunderstorms. Meanwhile, due to the Northeast Monsoon or “Amihan”, partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains are expected over Cagayan and Batanes.
Metro Manila and the rest of the country will have a generally fair weather. which suits outdoor activities. However, some areas could still have isolated thunderstorms, mostly in the afternoon or evening.
Sea travel remains risky for fishing boats and other small sea craft over the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Luzon. Wave height ranging from 3.4 to 4.5 meters may be experienced in the mentioned areas.
Loiz added that the current strong El Niño phenomenon has also something to do with the track and intensity of cyclones entering the PAR. A cyclone tends to intensify just before it approaches our boundary because of the warmer ocean or higher temperature. Also, it has a higher chance of recurving northward, moving away from the landmass.
This month, one to two tropical cyclone is expected to enter PAR (Philippine Area of Responsibility). PAGASA is now monitoring a severe tropical storm outside PAR located at approximately 2,980 kilometers east of Mindanao.
Weather forecaster Shelly Ignacio said In-Fa has a maximum sustained winds of 95 kph and gustiness of 120 kph and moving west-northwest at 20 kph.
Severe Tropical Storm “In-Fa” is too far to determine if it will enter PAR. However, some meteorological agencies shows that In-Fa will enter PAR and will move along the boundary. Upon entering PAR line, In-Fa will be given a local name “Marilyn”.
Today, the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) is now affecting Mindanao. Due to its warm and humid characteristics, this will result to rainy weather in Mindanao, Eastern Visayas and Palawan.
Meanwhile, Metro Manila and the rest of the country will experience fair weather, apart from isolated thunderstorms.