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Embedded along the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ), the low pressure area (LPA) was last estimated at 630 kilometers east of Catarman, Northern Samar. PAGASA Weather Forecaster Jori Loiz said this weather disturbance will gradually enhance the southwest monsoon or “hanging habagat.” Loiz added that the combined effect of the ITCZ and habagat will bring cloudy skies with light to moderate rains and thunderstorms over Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, Visayas and Mindanao. The rest of Luzon, including Metro Manila, will experience generally fair weather aside from the possible isolated rain showers or thunderstorms.
Meanwhile, another LPA and a tropical cyclone or “bagyo” are being monitored outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). The LPA was last spotted at 2,270 kilometers east of Mindanao. According to PAGASA Weather Forecaster Samuel Duran, this LPA has the chance to enter the PAR within this week.
With an international name “Chan-Hom”, the tropical storm was estimated at 3,640 kilometers east of Mindanao. Chan-Hom is a cyclone name contributed by Lao-PDR which refers to a kind of tree. Duran explains this tropical storm is still too far for its track to be ascertained. However, the possibility of it intensifying and entering the PAR remains.
As we welcome another month, it is a must to know the expected weather pattern this July. Loiz said rains will be more frequent over the western section of Luzon and Visayas due to the surge of habagat. Also, an average of 3 to 5 tropical cyclones are expected to enter the PAR. Based on the climatological records of PAGASA, here are the possible tracks or scenarios for these tropical cyclones: